Buhari’s blunder By Adagbo Onoja

By Adagbo Onoja

General Muhammadu Buhari is an extreme moral face of the ruling class. For that reason, he is in isolation, left high and dry. Even in the Congress for Progressive Change, (CPC), he is a problem to them in almost the same way that he is to the Nigerian establishment but which is also a problem for him.

Now, if my premise is logical, then the General has committed a blunder by throwing away an opportunity to strike at the heart of Nigeria if he were to successfully negotiate peace between the FG and Boko Haram. That is assuming that the offer from Boko Haram is real this time.

His decision might have been informed by the intelligence he got but intelligence is always raw materials for a political leader. The political reading of intelligence is always superior. My contention is that Buhari suffered from a predilection in assessing the opening, failing completely in leadership and public service.

What is the leadership and public service challenge as opposed to the partisanship in the opening? It is in the fact that any insurgency is a serious threat to any nation state, more so an insurgency that tends to pitch one religion against another. In that sense, President Jonathan even underrated the challenge when he compared it to the Biafran Civil War. While the civil war was a more straight forward patriots versus secessionists in an age when the international community privileged the state over any other actor within the national space unlike now, that of Boko Haram is not so. Instead, it is provocative of religious and regional fissures. Aside from that, Boko Haram insurgency would have been hotter to handle had it not alienated itself by attacking Christian worshippers, thereby making it look like a Christian-Muslim conflict instead of the social injustice avengeance mission they emphasized.

Given all these, whoever successfully negotiates a peace deal and disentangles the country from the disruptiveness in favour of culture of peace has served society probably even better than being a president. Only a few will ever get called to such a task, however and from whomever the summons came. I guess this was what lured Obasanjo into his ill-fated attempt at intervention. To reject it out of the fear that opponents will come to the conclusion that a nominee is one of ‘them’ suggests a not totally deep enough reflection.

That argument suggests how Buhari and his handlers obviously spend so much time on the least important things and very little time on the most important things. The most important thing as far as Boko Haram’s nomination of him is concerned is what Buhari would have told them in accepting the challenge, not the counter factual attitude in the rejection of the task. In other words, Buhari had not reached the point to withdrawl before he did so. That point would have been after welcoming the nomination with the conditions in which he could carry out the assignment. It is those conditions that would have told Nigerians who Buhari really is, with particular reference to defining the agenda for both Boko Haram, the FG and even the international community, leaving Buhari as the winner, whichever way it went.
 
The issue in question is negotiating to end a terrorist insurgency. It is, ab initio, a testy but an unavoidable option because of the very nature of terrorism. That is why a Mandela would insist and push the African National Congress, (ANC) into negotiating with the Apartheid regime even though he knew everything that happened. He did so because, as the leader, he also had the responsibility to think ahead and be more holistic in his appraisal of the situation. It was clear to him that what is most strategic is different from what is politically correct.

The late Umaru Yar’Adua and his thinkers did this beautifully too with the Niger Delta insurgency. He appreciated that if he insisted on bombing MEND and co to submission, for instance, the human rights implications alone could even overshadow the substantive issue. His sobriety or his advisers took him in the direction of an unorthodox application of the concept of amnesty which turned out very creative.

This time, we haven’t had that critical or reflective statism, neither from the FG nor from Buhari. But Boko Haram is a social crisis. The task for leadership is to go beyond the surface and deconstruct such a reality in its interconnectedness. It is from such deconstruction that resolution comes, not from standing aloof just to prove political opponents wrong. In this context, what Buhari has done is prove what he fears most – being labelled as someone who see things in either good or bad, black or white.

The only conclusion one can draw from this mishap is that General Buhari is feeling the pinch of the fundamentalist tagged on him. And he is getting so pinched to the extent of doing many things just to prove that he is not. I wouldn’t say such a tag is nothing to worry about but to allow the feeling to determine his reaction to just about everything he does in politics is to surrender. For, Buhari must know that if the class balance of forces were to change drastically and the Nigerian establishment can only find in him its hope of stabilizing the status quo, the label of religious fundamentalist against him will be replaced with a very complimentary label. That is ruling class politics.

Depending on the shifting balances, the ruling class can pick any of its members and dress or re-dress him or her for any roles. And this is why Boko Haram’s assignment is the kind of assignment Buhari should have embraced because it helps him to transform from the image of a too angry fellow to a system stabilizer. A system stabilizer is a more crucial player than anything else because it is the stability of the system that is most important. The system has to be stable before anyone can become anything. No one can be opposed to this irrespective of one’s ideological preferences, considering the interesting postulation of the sober and thoughtful elder statesman and former FCT Minister, Muhammadu Abba Gana that we can never have too much of peace.

It seems that Buhari is determined to prove T. Y Danjuma permanently right in T.Y’s assessment of him as a perfect Chief of Army Staff but an unsuitable choice for the position of Chief of Staff, Supreme Headquarters. That was several decades ago. Nothing seems to have changed even with a Buhari who has contested for the office of the president thrice. And even for a man who said that the collapse of the USSR converted him to democracy. The conversion looks incomplete.

…So speaketh General Abdulsalami Abubakar
There is nothing to disagree but everything to commend former Head of State, General Abdulsalami Abubakar for dismissing all threats of secession as mere noise. That is the kind of thing we should be hearing from all military and political leaders about Nigeria not only because it counters the megalomania of those who first begin their politics by threatening secession but also because it is the truth. The cultural, geographical and strategic problems of secession in Nigeria make it a dead on arrival option for all of us.

Having said that, people like General Abdulsalami who, to the extent of being the only statesman around as a result of being a non partisan actor, should also begin to recognise that Nigeria’s journey to Somalia is real. In Africa, state collapse starts with loss of rural areas to unlawful authorities. That is going on steadily in Nigeria now. Today, there are many communities where there is no manifestation of state authority beyond dirty and torn flags. The police run away when kingpins are in motion. I believe I don’t have to give any examples since the SSS knows all these. Yet, all the king’s men and all the king’s horses are never on sight.

Nigeria may not collapse but something can trigger a situation of imponderable mass suffering. And after which we could count loses in millions. If small Rwanda could lose a million to an absolutely preventable genocide, anyone can guess how many Nigeria will lose to anything like or similar to what happened in Rwanda. May God Bless Nigeria!
Adagbo Onoja, a student-researcher is accessible on adagboonoja@gmail.com
 

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Sounds like Adagbo is Boko Haram

This is written in typical Nigerian journalese = vague,wordy, self-important,meaningless jibberish that is usually defamatory against a politician or a people. As many previous commentators averr -he is surely doing a hatchet job. My instinct goes further than that. His shameless cockiness on so serious a matter that has destroyed lives and economies is that he belongs to one of those 3 Boko Haram's General Buhari listed. That must explain his ability to put something like this in public domain...Come to think about it his oga's state has been completely untouched by the insanity.....Interesting.

Missed Point

Mr Onoja u missed d point. Negotiation means engaging in persuasive dialogue to get some or all of what you believe in and are fighting for.Buhari says he cannot represent people who are burning schools and killing people. Meaning that he does not believe in burning schools and killing people. So you are wrong by insinuating other reasons for his refusal as he said clearly that he cannot represent a gruop that is burning schools and killing people. Mr Onoja if you are a man of principles such as Buhari, you will choose who to represent & negotiate for. That is what u will do. e.g am from Benue like u bt will find it difficult to negotiate for someone like Govs Akume or Suswam but will easily negotiate for Govs Adasu, Aper Aku, Shagari, Fashola. It is a matter of principle- what you believe in.

ADAGBOS' BLUNDER

To my mind the General got it right this time by out witting the mischief makers in their own game. No explanation would have conveyed his sincere intent had he accepted the offer.Even when the General shaded tears for this country in the last phase of his campaign the only meaning to it was that it was a crocodile tears in fact, the words from some quarters are unspeakable. But,who knew that Obama will do same to convey his love for his country and fear of what would have befell America had they voted wrongly. Where was Adagbo when the General was at the spread pages for alleged swearing to make Nigeria ungovernable, where was he when the General was accused of inciting post 2011 election violence.There was never an awesome write up from Adagbo in defense of a one time Head of State of Nigeria. This I consider what forumites call balderdash and a pain radiating from a failed stratagem.

Rubbish

What Rubbish are you spouting. Buhari did the right thing by refusing to negotiate with terrorists; and as a former president who dealt with the maitasine cult in his time, I have more confidence in Buhari than I have of you. What qualifies you may I ask to give this biased opinion or what position of responsibility have you held that you are trying to blacken Buhari's reputation.

What's the basis for making

What's the basis for making Buhari an issue here. Most of the Senators caught recently interacting or sponsoring Boko Haram are all PDP members. Please leave the incorruptible General alone.

Buhari was absolutely right

i categorically disagree with your submission on the decision of Buhari to reject the nomination to negotiate with federal government un-behalf of Boko Haram. I think the egalitarian General took a wise decision because the nomination was nothing but plot to rubbish the General. The so-called cabals that gave birth to the sect are the one`s planning to set up the General because Buhari has remain a treat to them.

Kingdom secrets

Luke 6:45 (NIV)
The good man brings good things out of the good stored up in his heart, and the evil man brings evil things out of the evil stored up in his heart. For out of the overflow of his heart his mouth speaks.

Luke 6:27-34 (NIV)
[27] “But I tell you who hear me: Love your enemies, do good to those who hate you, [28] bless those who curse you, pray for those who mistreat you. [29] If someone strikes you on one cheek, turn to him the other also. If someone takes your cloak, do not stop him from taking your tunic. [30] Give to everyone who asks you, and if anyone takes what belongs to you, do not demand it back. [31] Do to others as you would have them do to you.

Luke 6:43-44 (NIV)
"No good tree bears bad fruit, nor does a bad tree bear good fruit. [44] Each tree is recognized by its own fruit."

Buhari`s Blunder

i categorically disagree with your submission on the decision of Buhari to reject the nomination to negotiate with federal government un-behalf of Boko Haram. I think the egalitarian General took a wise decision because the nomination was nothing but plot to rubbish the General. The so-called cabals that gave birth to the sect are the one`s planning to set up the General because Buhari has remain a treat to them.

Mr adagbo onoja

onoja, i'm appalled by your limited IQ,i do not wish to insult but i really have to say that your piece is most misguided one i have read in years, why would gen buhari negotiate on behalf of boko haram, dont you know it would reinforce the belief that he was all this while a member of the group he once denied being affiliated with, we really need to think on both directions and weigh the odds before concluding negatively

PDP ERRAND BOY

MR. Onoja you forgot to tell your readers that you are the Special Assistant/Adviser to PDP Governor Sule Lamido on Media.......why hide youself to impeach GMB character?

Onoja,sorry your judgement of

Onoja,sorry your judgement of buhari is selfish and highly myopic.If you have nothing to write pls hang your pen.Wether the enemies like him or not, he is still the most loved nigerian on earth. BH is a creation of PDP let them face the consequences squarely.

onoja

Onoja, u are a miscriant. pls tell us ur sponsors.

Nigeria is an ORPHAN!

Nigeria is an ORPHAN. No sense of nationalism, No sense of patriotism. Everyone scampers for what they can GET FROM Nigeria, NOBODY cares about what he or she could GIVE to Nigeria. Assuming without conceding that Buhari is destined to broker peace between the federal govt and boko haram and GIVE peace to Nigeria, then it means peace will PERMANENTLY elude Nigeria. This is because Buhari is only interested in what he can GET from Nigeria and not what he can GIVE to Nigeria. Buhari is only interested in GETTING the presidency and living in Aso Rock. He got the presidency thru the back door(coup) before but didn't last enough for his liking. Now he is DESPERATE for power again &careless about the killings going on. These submissions are BITTER but TRUE. Until we all start thinking of what we can GIVE to Nigeria wherever we find ourselves, sorry, Nigeria will remain STUNTED. Anyway, pending when a truce is secured, JTF will continue to represent and pound the ENEMY in those troubled areas

Nigeria will not be Somalia-One Nigeria will be

If Germany is calling for the United States of Europe; NIgerians should be working for the creation of the United States of Africa-2017 and then you will be like California and not Somalia

Poppycock!!!!!

This is clearly a hatchet job by this writer and a messy one at that. The thought process behind the reasoning is warped and smack of a paid or self propaganda job. BH is a known PDP creation or at least promoter, Jonathan is the most untrusted Leader Nigeria ever had to date. So you can say the talk is designed to fail given that Jonathan will use any opportunity to rubbish his political opponents. He started campaigning for 2015 the day he got(s)elected at the last exercise called election. please my friend do more research before commiting to paper

BLESSED ARE THE PEACEMAKERS, FOR THEY SHALL...!

It is unfortunate that BUHARI has missed an opportunity to become a STATESMAN OF SOME SORT. He missed an opportunity to be recognised GLOBALLY as A MAN OF PEACE. A PEACEMAKER who helped to end TERRORISM IN HIS BACKYARD. Unfortunately, he is still playing PARTY politics, instead of becoming a STATESMAN.

BUHARI'S CONTEMPORARIES IN ADVANCED COUNTRIES HAVE ALL QUIT THE STAGE AND THINK ABOVE PARTY POLITICS. BUHARI was there since the days of AL-GORE, JOHN KERRY AND JOHN MCCAIN. These people had ONE SHOT AT IT, ACCEPTED THE WISHES OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE AND QUIT THE STAGE. Those who celebrate OBAMA today should realise that THERE WOULD NOT BE AN OBAMA IF ALGORE AND KERRY HUGGED THE STAGE!

BUHARI has jumped party and changed clothes, YET NIGERIANS REJECTED HIM BY THE SAME MARGIN OBAMA WON ROMNEY! He should take a dive, as Romney is expected to do!

Ye shall know them by their fruits!

Does BUHARI not care about the LIVES OF INNOCENT NIGERIANS BEING WASTED? If he does, then he will grab this opportunity to SAVE LIVES. Good-works does not suddenly start when one becomes a PRESIDENT, but it is ingrained. It manifests in everyday life or living. By their FRUITS (LEGACY) YE SHALL KNOW THEM. It is By THE FRUITS WE SEE THEM PLANT OR HARVEST THAT WE JUDGE THEM.

If BH trusts BUHARI to help end their barbarism, he should not waste the opportunity to SAVE LIVES FOR THE LOVE OF HUMANITY. Not because of the Federal Govt! if only some people would pause and reflect that this is not about PDP, ACN or CPC, BUT ABOUT THE LIVES OF INNOCENT PEOPLE BEING WASTED IN CHURCHES AND ELSEWHERE. Goodworks or good deeds does not need prompting. BUHARI should borrow a leaf from KOFFI ANANG WHO, LIKE A STATESMAN, MEDIATES IN CONFLICTS ACROSS THE GLOBE!.

Missed opportunity, indeed!

Conflict does not care who ends it, but whoever does is celebrated. The writer is right that BUHARI missed an opportunity to STOP THE SLAUGHTER OF INNOCENT PEOPLE and etch his name in Gold. In case people are forgetting, it is the LIVES OF INNOCENT NIGERIANS, CHRISTIANS, CIVILIANS AND SECURITY PERSONNEL, THAT ARE BEING MAULED or WASTED BY THESE BABARIANS. Boko Haram isn't waging a war against the Federal Government, otherwise, the seat of the Federal Government is in Abuja. And unlike the ND militancy, Boko haram's CAUSE is to WIPE OUT OR DRIVE OUT CHRISTIANS FROM THE NORTH. How do you negotiate with a people who do not believe in your right to exist?

But BUHARI, as the leader of the group can 'unbrainwash' or REFORM them to think positive. REFORM them to direct their angst against the Governors and Political leaders that kept them in poverty.

Buhari is a helpless and confused old man

Mr Onoja I disagree with you, Buhari does not have the clout and the brain to negotiate peace. As a soldier he was trained to destroy, given that he is a president with this Boko Haram problem, he would have ordered for them to be crushed.What Buhari wants is to be president of Nigeria,his political ambition is more important to him than national peace. The overrated 'messiah' is afraid to be tagged a terrorist.whether Buhari accept or reject Boko Haram's offer to negotiate peace he will not rule this country. He is a failure and a coward, if he could not hold the lever of power when all powers was in his hand, is it now that it is shared among three institution that he can rule Nigeria? Nigeria's problems are now Jonathan's problem so let Jonathan alone solve them, nobody should complain how he solves it since it is his problem.

may be Gej was d presido when Nzeogwu struck in 66

A clear conscience fears no accusation. Buhari came out in 2003 to chase Obj out> And in the process, created the monster called Boko haram to protect the Fulani hegemonic tree-without developing a clear ideological base for them. Instead relied on religion to lure certain almajiris into their camp from Mali. The writer is 100 percent right. Buhari missed a golden opportunity to re-invent his himself and the government of abacha that he served as VP. But because he was instrumental to the establishment of BH, to scare 9jas into submitting to the feudal rule of the Tuaregs from Chad, he panicked. @ Fotograph.com, was it d failed vision of GEJ that gave birth to Maitasine in d 80s? A sect whose activities left over 4,000 9jas dead? perhaps it was the activities of GEJ that led to the beading of brother Gideon in the North-Where was our so called intelligence when Yusuf the leader of BH murdered Pastor Ijeh? May be GEJ was the president when Nzeogwu struck in 1966-just may be-animals

it seems youn are ignorant of

it seems youn are ignorant of Boko Haram and its sponsors. To the contrary I am in support of General refusal to negotiate for something that is not certain

Jonathan Must Trace Otedola/Senator Lawan's Crime Dollars Now!

Jonathan has the one trillion Naira that was the budget to fight crime for 2012. The onus is on Jonathan to fight crime and and secure Nigeria. It is not Buhari's job.

Nonsense...Gen. Buhari is not the Presido

Buhari's reading of the cheap Dumpo ploy was sound, his subsequent rejection of the 'offer' to be the man that brought peace to Nigeria is on cue. Boko Haram is a PDP creation with Sambo and Senators writing their scripts, Dumbo knows that much, let them sort it out within their inner caucus of criminals. That preposterous message calling for peace talks (in Saudi Arabia) was put out by Dumbo's crumb-catchers, and Buhari being a career soldier was able to decipher the lines as nothing but propaganda aimed at proving he's behind the thugs...they listen to him! Let the other 'eminent' Nigerians on the list go ahead and negotiate, I'm sure if the 'offer' were authentic peace will return to Naija. This crumbie write-up is nothing but a waste of time, poorly construed, terrible examples and basically a 'notice me' bullshiet.

Gen. Buhari was right to

Gen. Buhari was right to reject that offer. After all he has been labelled as the cause of the problem. Don't judge him like that, are you sure it is not a trap? there are lots of Northern leader they can use, leaders that people will not raise any eyebrow if appointed to negotiate. My brother he made the right decision based on certain things we are seeing happening in this country

Buhari should learn from Ribadu.

Yes, you may say there is no basis for comparism, if I were to meet Buhari today, i would advice him to steer clear of anything that has to do with negotiating with, for or on behalf of PDP led bobtail. Lest he be given the Ribadu treatment.

Narrow analysis

This analysis is narrow as it does not offer class perspective of what transpired in Nigeria. Though, the writer use some marxist and class terms, but it is only a smokescreen to malign an invidual, thinking that readers will not know his mindset. Your analysis smack of bourgeoise-Liberal writers like Soyinka, Achebe, Ndibe and Pius whose unit of analysis centre on individual when explaining certain social issues. While i am not de-emphasizing the role of individual in history but such development must encompasses the social situation that warrant such scenario. Onoja was right to say Buhari can still be the last lever of the ruling class if the current ship capsized but he should be careful not to over-exaggerate the genuiness of the so-called dialogue and must be honest to tell the reader what underlying condition gave rise to boko haram in the first place.

Buhari is right not to negotiate with Boko Haram

Buhari is right not to negotiate with Boko Haram.

Boko Haram = PDP. Why should Buhari then get involved in the dirty politics of PDP?

They enslave the people, enshrine corrupt practices in the society and you want an upright man to get involved with thieves.

Please go away with your argument. All the people who threatened violence were PDP politicians and all the high level killings have been non PDP politicians. As for the church bombings, they are done just to cause division in the society. Period!

there is no need for heroism

I didn't faulty Buhari decision in any way,the Gen might have is own reason there is no point enforce any heroism. Those example. The writer pointed out are basically born out of genuinity and seriousness on the part of yardua administration and mandela. The present crop of government are not sincere in anyway, what they know best to do is to defend the constructive criticism and discredit anybody that seem to come or be potential oppose their uncivilised action. Ribadu report was trash bcos dey sow a seed of discord among the committee, who knows may b the same is in line here. Nobody trust GEJ and his teams bcos of there insincerity to face any worthwhile issue.

Adagbo Onoja's blunder !

Rubbish ! Rubbish !! Rubbish !!!

Buhari onlt said last year that rigging will not be tolerated and you PDP aplogists went to town to claim he promised violence and now you want him to negotiate btw FG and Boko Haram and then you would turn around and claim he was their sponsor hence they listened to him.
The examples of Yaradua and Nelson Mandela you gave are so warped i doubt you are actually a student-researcher you claimed. Yaradua was a President when he negotiated, Buhari is not ! Nelson Mandela was the head of ANC, Buhari is not teh head of Boko Harm so where lies the similarities ?

You voted in a weakling who can't guarantee basic necessities like security and now you are blaming his opponent for not helping him out.

Rubbish ! Rubbish !! Rubbish !!!

Document Nigeria; if you have the evidence

This article in surging headlong in an attack on the character and mettle of the general, completely misses the bull in the China shop.
How is anyone supposed to successfully mediate between a corrupt and dishonest government and a shadowy and shifty terrorist group?
Here is a failed government, that should have been using intelligence to discover and engage with the leadership of Boko Haram, but instead elects to shirk its duty to Nigerians and now seeks to blame Buhari!

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