Thursday, 23 May 2013
Nigeria: The Approaching Violence
These days Bauchi town is under strict surveillance by security agents. When Governor Isa Yuguda is in town especially, checkpoints abound every street at night. A visitor would wonder what is wrong with the erstwhile small, peaceful city. Boko Haram.
They have threatened to kill the Governor and his Borno State counterpart, sooner or later, according to their spokesman who granted an interview to VOA Hausa Service. Exactly a month ago, the group launched a spectacular attack at Bauchi prison using sophisticated weapons and freed all inmates, including dozens of its members who were awaiting what seem to be unending trial for not clearly defined reasons. Sources say there are armoured tanks inside the Government House. While other cities celebrated the 50thIndependence Anniversary, Bauchi could not hold its. The governor could not take the risk. To secure his life, he condescended to employing his late in-law’s formula in solving the Niger Delta crisis. Pardon and Money.
Yesterday, 7 October 2010, according to sources, he visited the prison and pardoned the only two of Boko Haram members present and gave each a gift of N100,000.00! Other prisoners rioted, demanding same treatment and arguing that their offenses are not as grievous as that of Boko Haram. Soldiers were drafted to quell the prisoners.
Elsewhere in Borno State, the world heard that the group struck at the heart of the political class. Two days ago they killed the former State Chairman of the state's ruling ANPP and now National Vice Chairman (Northeast) of the party, Alhaji Ali Awagana Ngala, at his house and a policeman at the house of the Speaker of the House of Assembly. Earlier, they have killed a number of policemen and traditional office holders in reprisal to the killing of their members last year. Members of the group, true to their pledge after their massacre by the Nigerian Police last year, has adopted guerrilla warfare, riding on motorbikes and hitting their target and vanishing into the dark night of the Sahelian city. It was not Bin Laden… It was Boko Haram.
Since the group embarked on reprisal attacks, authorities have not been able to arrest anyone. The group’s assurance that it will pursue the governors no matter the time it takes must have unsettled the governors. The Governors feel helpless, now wishing that they had handled the group in a more civilized manner when they bizarrely executed their members extra-judicially as witnessed by the world. For the first time in this part of the country, a real threat of violence is unrepentantly directed at the political class. Insecurity and panic has finally reached Government Houses after it has tarried among ordinary Nigerians for long.
The residents of the modern city of Abuja, the Nigerian Federal Capital, equally share the same insecurity and panic for the first time. The tranquillity that characterised its atmosphere for the thirty years of its life was ended on 1stOctober, 2010, our 50th Independence Anniversary Day. As the celebrations were taking place, two bombs went off killing eleven people and injuring dozens of others, in spite of 48 hours warning. While the controversy over the identity of the perpetrators was going on, warnings were given regarding other bombs planted at the National Secretariat and National Assembly complexes, among others. Panic ensued. Workers managing the Nigerian state abandoned their offices and started running for their safety. It was not Boko Haram… It was MEND.
Bombings in the Southern Nigeria has not been new. Various groups in the Niger Delta, coalescing into MEND – Movement for the Emancipation of Niger Delta – have been operating on the principle of violence since 2003. By 2007, the organization was able to substantially diminish the oil incomes of the country. The then new President granted them amnesty, money and pledged more physical development of their region. Though they obliged by handing over a number of their weapons and pledging to eschew violence, it is widely believed that many groups still carry out violent attacks and abductions in the region.
The prospect of this kind of violence that is targeted at government officials is very high as 2011 approaches. Elections in Nigeria are essentially won through violence. But that seems to be mundane. What is worrying is, as CNN put it to the Nigerian President, whether political instability will be precipitated by his strong ambition to return in 2011 against the principle of zoning enshrined in the ruling party’s constitution. So far, the President himself has lent credence to that theory when he hurriedly blamed his opponents for planting the Abuja bombs. Though the opponents have denied it, one needs to be very naïve to think that it will run smoothly for Jonathan. In any case, even if it happens, this would not the first time politically motivated violence would be used to bring down a government in Nigeria. Violence was used in the former Southwest by opposition politicians to bring down the First Republic in 1966. The Second Republic was likewise terminated by a coup in 1983. These experiences inform the fear among diplomatic circles that abandoning zoning in the PDP might bring the demise of the current democratic dispensation. The only difference is that while it was some elements in the South and the Military in 1966 and 1983 respectively that were aggrieved, this time it is some elements in the North who feel short-changed.
These forms of violence will continue so long as Nigerian leaders employ impunity to solve our problems. They are always selfish, inelegant and impatient with the law. They think having the treasury within their reach and the security agents under their command gives them the license to violate citizen rights and take political courses detrimental to the stability of the nation. Their primitive mind does not transcend the animal instinct to accumulate. They do not honour agreements except those which favour them and anyone who raises a finger at them is only fit to die.
Boko Haram will remain here for a long time. Given their ideological inclination it will be foolhardy for the authorities to think that by killing their members in gruesome manner, the followers will be terrified to recant. The opposite happened. They saw their dead as martyrs and swore that their blood will not go for nothing, giving credence to what Qutb once said that the tree of an ideology is watered by the blood of its martyrs. Those widely circulated clips showing how Mohammed Yusuf and Foi were killed remain a scar on the conscience of this country. The actions were globally condemned as unjust.
The fact that Yusuf was killed shortly after he was visited in police custody by the Governor of Borno State who spoke to the detainee in vernacular implicates the Governor in no small measure. Foi, a former Commissioner of the Governor was asked to walk on a street by the Police and as he did he was gunned down in public glare. His in-law was equally killed when he came to enquire about him. In Bauchi, dozens of unsuspecting Boko Haram members who were reciting the Qur’an in their camp were instantly massacred and the camp levelled by government bulldozers. Some eight or so members of the organization were arrested at Yankari Motor Park where they were taking their breakfast before they board a bus to carry them home. They were surrounded by security agents and massacred right there before the eyes of the public. The Bauchi State Governor then came out praising himself that the crisis did not escalate in Bauchi because he was prompt in ‘dealing’ with them. When the international community complained, Yar’adua set up a committee of inquiry whose report to date is kept secret. For over a year the trial of those detained continued to lurch without any hope that it will ever be concluded. The group therefore planned for and succeeded in freeing its members from Bauchi prison without losing the life of a single member and walked away freely. If the Governors and security agencies had abided by the law and showed respect for human life, I very much doubt there would have been any ground for the group to go underground and pose a threat far greater than it had before.
The political violence which many diplomats anticipate as 2011 approaches as a result of the President’s breach in zoning the Presidency to the North can only be disputed at the peril of the nation. Shouting down John Campbell will not solve the problem. Jonathan, being a PhD, should at least been wise enough to note that with every breach there is an attendant risk. On the page of this column, I pleaded with him on many occasion to be prudent in his thought. I supported his cause of becoming the President when ‘Yaradua was sick. I can even rightfully claim to be the first Nigerian to ask Yar’adua to resign in order to attend to his health. Then when he was sworn in, in The Task of Jonathan, I advised him, first, to fix electricity, fight corruption and conduct credible elections in 2011, but never to use his mortal hands to meddle with the destiny that brought him this far. He would then return in 2015, I argued, as a hero that the nation would warmly welcome. He was defiant. Secondly, when it was evident that he indeed wanted to contest, in Jonathan and the Northern Hawks, I advised him not to employ the services of sectionalism, religion or some political hawks that have misguided previous dictators. Rather he should seek his ambition through credible people in the North that would douse any suspicion. This was the route taken to bring Obasanjo to power. Again, Jonathan was adamant.
Jonathan’s supporters did not help matters. Those of them who saw a success for their religious agenda, especially among Northern Christians, and those who have inherited hatred against the North started insulting Northerners even though the party primaries are nowhere near because they believe nobody can stand up to his incumbency. The insult that the North must not think that the presidency is its birthright is often repeated. For the disciples of secession, this gave them the opportunity to bring back their war drums and start castigating Northerners. One wonders where were these voices when the PDP zoned power to the South in 1999. By sheer lack of tact, these supporters of Jonathan are doing more harm to his cause and decapitating the flowers of national integration that started to bloom since 1999. Well, from their jaundiced arguments, none of them believes in one Nigeria. They are making heroes out of Jonathan’s. I wish they were more patriotic.
Despite his wrong decision, Jonathan has not done anything to allay the fears of the nation. We have seen incumbency employed in his support as it was used during the Obasanjo era. The EFCC was used to chase out the former pro-zoning PDP national chairman, Chief Vincent Ogbulafor. The same organ equally terrorized northern governors –Nyako, Saraki, Lamido, etc – that are opposed to his ambition. Public funds are used to finance his campaign. Who paid for the crowd that attended his declaration ceremony other than state and local governments treasuries? He went as low as preventing a meeting of emminent Igbo leaders in Owerri after they have paid for the venue and invited all governors from the region. Finally, the President has expressed his contempt for his opponents in unequivocal terms. He rushed to implicate them in the recent bombing by extricating those who claimed responsibility at a time when he said the matter was still under investigation. He was impatient. He has also proved that he can close his eyes and contradict written facts, like when he said the Presidency of Nigeria was never zoned. What a pity! Certainly, this was not the Jonathan we prayed for when we supported his ascension to power.
The President and his supporters are so paranoid that they are taking every warning for a threat. Take the case of Adamu Ciroma. He is one of those that supported Obasanjo against all odds in both 1999 and 2003 as par the zoning arrangement of his party. Now he is regarded a villain by pro-Jonathan elements because he has refused to shift from the same principle of political stability that is enshrined in the constitution of the party. He warned of the instability which Jonathan’s unbridled ambition might bring and asked him to reconsider his decision to contest in 2011. Before he could shut his mouth, his warning was interpreted as threat and insults of all kinds were rained on him from their habitual quarters, as if nobody should any longer have any say in the country except “yes, Jonathan, yes Jonathan, yes Jonathan…” This degree of obsession and intolerance is really alarming. Jonathan has committed so many blunders and exposed so many of his shortcomings within a short time that many people are justifiably questioning his capacity as lead the nation. I remember an email I received from a reader from Bayelsa State immediately I wrote Yar’adua: Between Health and Power. He warned me that the country should not pray for Jonathan’s Presidency because the person, according to the reader is so inept. He said Jonathan would just be receiving orders from Obasanjo. But I supported Jonathan then based on what I thought was better for Yar’adua himself and, later, based on constitutionality. Today, that reader can write me and say, “Shebi, I told you.”
I am not in a position to say whether the recklessness of the President would yield something sinister to this dispensation as Adamu Ciroma has warned. But I dare say it clearly that the President did not follow my advise. I doubt if he ever listened to it. Nothing may happen, we pray. He can only be there for eight years and life would continue as usual, with its official corruption and highhandedness. We pray that the Abuja bombing will be the first and the last in the quiet city. But should anything happen, providence will accuse Jonathan of short-sightedness.
As for Boko Haram, who prefer to be called Ahlus Sunnah wal Jihad – the vanguard of tradition and Jihad – I will advise that authorities should call them for a genuine settlement of their case. Their members in detention should be tried if there are sufficient grounds to do so without holding them in prison without trial forever and if they are not Nigerian enough to enjoy the amnesty and money extended to MEND. Compensation must be paid to the victims that were killed extra-judiciously. The report of the presidential committee set up to investigate their massacres should be released and the culprits punished accordingly. Above all, effort must be made to engage them intellectually. Their fight is ideological so only an appeal to their intellect would make sense. But if the government in its characteristic logic thinks that brutality would solve their problem, then it should be ready to shoulder the responsibility whenever they hit at one political figure or another, and especially the political big heads they are hunting for. The more dangerous trend would be their metamorphosis into a broader radical formation – Sata Haram – that would target the other fat cats who live in our midst and sucking our blood, for that is a cause that would earn the group thousands of followers among Nigerians of different creeds and origins. Then, its targets would be cheaper to reach as they travel on our highways or reside in their mansions amidst our imposed poverty and deprivation.
Tilde,
8 October 2010
Please share this article with as many friends as possible. Other articles by the author can be downloaded from his blog at http://fridaydiscourse.blogspot.com.
You May Be Right
Yes, I believe that the zoning system should be respected and upheld because this formula has worked in guranteeing every tribe a shot at the presidency, governorship, legislative, local government and judicial seats. However, the problem I have is crowning any PDP aspirant as the president. Who told you that Jonathan will win the election? Are there no other political parties?. If you are so traumatized about Jonathan's candidacy then you equally subscribe to election rigging and the use of the incubency factor to trample the rights of the electorate. Why are you not advocating or telling others to analyze and check the programs being offered by other candidates in other parties? To me Jonathan is not the best candidate. He appears to be inept and lacks the courage to make good decisions. How can we elect a president who lacks simple economic knowledge. This is a guy who wants to import dustbins for Abuja. This is a president that took hundreds of people to UN for a day's conference while the President of Iran took a commercial flight with less than three cabinet members. This is a president that authorized the purchase of million dollar aircrafts for his presidential fleet. This is a president who promised to develop the country's infrastructure but is unable to fix lagos-Ore road.
Please give me a break.
CONNECTION
I dont quite understand the connection between Boko Haram's murderous jihadist activities in the North and Jonathan's perceived ill advised ambition to be President.
For the avoidance of doubt, PDP's internal arrangement should not be used as a plank to shred the national constitution.
I DETER THE VAMPIRES WHO KILL CHRISTIANS WITH NAME "Jesus"
because they are prone to the already on the way beast from the pit of hell, because they are vampires and cultists, because devil has failed when devil begged Jesus, 'kneel down to me and I will give you everything you wish for', because they run at the hearing of the name Jesus!, because they worship man, because they are atheists, because they are inferior, because they are hate peace, because they are revengeful, because they are hot-tempered, because they are prone to killing, because they are blood thirsty, because they faith-centered complex problem, because they know their faith is fake, because they see the name of "Jesus" as a threat to their blood thirsty inspiration...THEY WANT US TO BELIEVE THAT THEY DO NOT SUPPORT THE FEARS THAT THEIR BOYS IN THE NAME OF THEIR FAITH UNLEACH ON US. THEY SEE SUCH BABARISM AS PRESSURE GROUP FOR THEIR UN-ACKNOWLEDGED FAITH AND THEY CUNNINGLY WORHIP AND EQUIP THEIR PRESSURE GROUP!
Please don't mind this stupid Anonymous
@Okwuchukwu Ezeanyika: Please let this anonymous be bury in his ignorance and stupidity. Just like Jonathan he is blindly supporting, he has no principal and people like them are what is the core reason of moral decay in our society. Forget these IBB and Atiku rubbish, will GEJ supporters one reason why we should give him 4 years with the way he has been leading/distrating Nigeria? Let's make scrap zoning and see if minority will again have a shot at the top spot like GEJ did, let's not deceive ourselves by saying PDP is not the only party in Nigeria well knowing that whoever they present will carry the President, how can we trust this "free & fair" crap when there is not voter registration data and the whole system is full of corrupt individuals.
Attention of 'Mr. Anonymous' (Okwuchukwu Ezeanyika is warped...)
I will address you as Mr. Anonymous because you were not bold to state your real names or even use an alias. I am sorry if you misunderstood my comments that ICJ based their decision over Bakassi solely on the gentleman's agreement Mr. Ahidjo had with Mr. Gowon and that Ahidjo did not first raise the matter of their rights or lay claims over Bakassi to Mr. Gowon.
The fact is that when Mr. Gowon approached Cameroon's Ahidjo to blockade Biafra so that they do not acquire arms through their borders or grant their aircrafts landing rights, he raised their ownership of Bakassi. As a result of the expediency of the moment, which was to defeat Biafra at all costs, Mr. Gowon agreed.
You mentioned that Cameroon was surprised that Nigeria did not raise a counter case against Cameroon's submissions at the ICJ and you attribute this to Obasanjo's hatred for Bakassi and Igbos!! My friend, please, read your Geography. The people of Bakassi are no Igbos. One reason Nigeria did not present any counter case before ICJ was that they could not get Mr. Gowon to deny Cameroon's submission that he had agreed to hand Bakassi to Cameroon as a quid pro quo in 1967.
Or Mr. Anonymous (Man or Woman without a name), are you stating that Cameroon accepted to blockade Biafra and sought no gain from Nigeria? To use your words, "so, Mr. go do your homework. Such stupidity" (these are your words not mine).
To you Mr. Gowon is a "simpleton and nitwit" (your words again), but your Mr. Jonathan is a 'bolekaja' President! Who is better for Nigeria? I will choose Mr. Gowon any day and I am certain 145 million of Nigerians will do the same.
@ Okwuchukwu Ezeanyika
YOU ELOQUENTLY DISCUSSED THE RATIONALE FOR NOT VOTING PDP AND I AGREE. HOWEVER, YOU FAILED TO IDENTIFY AN ALTERNATIVE PARTY(IES) OR CANDIDATE(S) WHOM YOU WOULD LIKE TO MOBILIZE FOR. THUS, LEAVING YOUR ARGUMENT SOMEWHAT INCOMPLETE. I WILL BE INTERESTED TO HAVE AN INSIGHT TO YOUR ALTERNATIVE(S).
@ Okwuchukwu Ezeanyika:is warped, too
@ Okwuchukwu Ezeanyika:
Dr. Tilde “made your day”? Let facts bust it for you.
1. Bakassi, the most inhumane act since Biafra.
The ICJ decision was not based on a “Gentleman’s agreement.” As you delude yourself into celebrating. The ICJ decision was based on 4 factors:
1. Maps of the region drawn and redrawn by Colonialists
2. Shifting powers between Colonialists according to who won the Europe wars, the WWI and WWII, and how the loser’s colonial “holdings” were divvied up.
3. Written agreements between victor-colonialists and stipulated conditions for the losers.
The above are actually on record as to why the court ruled the way it did. Point 4 also came up at the review of that ICJ decision on Bakassi:
4. Much to the astonishment of the Cameroonian Legal Team, the Nigerian lawyers never presented any counter case, nor did they challenge their opposing team. The Cameroonian Team were stunned. Ordinarily, a legal team is pleased when the opposition is losing. The Cameroonian team was pleased, but actually more stunned than pleased, because they just couldn’t believe that the Nigerian Team would not present counter-argument.
So, Mr: go do your homework. Such stupidity!
As a footnote: where on Earth in the 21st Century do you settle the fate of millions of people by a handshake between rogues and hypocrites which Okwuchukwu Ezeanyika prefers to call “Gentlemen”? The simpleton and nitwit called Gowon was not a gentleman and would not dare transfer Northern Cattleheads to another country with a mere handshake, let alone peoples and their territory. The arch Igbo-hater, Obasanjo, did not mount any defense to keep Bakassi because what he prided himself on—the total defeat of Biafra—had become a mirage: by 1999, Biafra was resurgent, and Igbo masses are back to, and are backing Biafra today. In 1976 when Obasanjo still believed Nigeria had annihilated Biafra, Bakassi was defensible. But, now that he saw Bakassi as part of Biafra, why not humiliate the Igbo, the Bakassi and Biafra more?
We had asked Bakassi people to take their case to the UN, asking for a referendum. Surely, the world would be sympathetic were Obasanjo and his Northern friends chose to pepper the Bakassi people. Bakassi leaders demurred: they said that Obasanjo had promised them that he / Nigeria would never let Bakassi go. Now, talk about a “Genteman’s agreement or handshake.” The rest is history.
It is truly a mark of ignorance to compare a rogues handshake with the stipulations of a written constitution, or any "handshake or other parochial agreement for that matter.
Okwuchukwu Ezeanyika, you are the loser. Get your head examined!
Dr. Tilde's Disguise
Dr. Tilde:
1. The crux of your arguments is that Jonathan broke an agreement: what agreement?
a) When did PDP party agreement trump Nigeria’s constitution, to the extent that you practically call Jonathan (who was sworn in to uphold Nigeria’s constitution), a law-breaker just because he is opposed to PDP’s internal party Zoning? What is the law to you? Northern intimidated and dominated PDP’s corrupt internal wranglings, or Nigeria’s Constitution?
b) It would have been nice to hear you say that you supported Jonathan’s ascension to the post of President BECAUSE that’s Nigeria’s Constitutional provision—The Law—and not because of your personal, individual largesse and generosity.
c) You must have been consulted when “Zoning” was agreed upon—enough to attempt to drag CNN to your side of the argument? Do you see how ridiculous that is? CNN taking your side: Democracy arguing on behalf of Zoning; Rule of Law arguing on the side of rule of the Harem?
2. Dr. Tilde, the Emerging Voice and Megaphone of Boko Haram?
a) So, you are now the advocate of Boko Haram, and their Publicist, making efforts to polish their image to the public?
b) You are so quick to dismiss and forget the original crimes of Boko Haram: can you remember what they did? That was all before Nigeria Military, Nigeria police intervention. Their leader, of whom you are now so enamored, was actually beheading Christians who refused forced conversion to Islam in this macabre, totally uncivilized sub-primitive dastardly act. In your own time, Dr. Tilde: in your own time. Do you know who these beheaded Christians are? Do you care about that? Or, does your defense and monetary compensation scheme stop with the original perpetrators of the crime as you recommend, those whose original crimes you are so quick to forget?
3. Gratuitous citations:
a) As quick as you are to drag in an incident of another humiliation of the Igbo by Nigeria just to make your point, where have you been when more serious and bloody crimes have been committed by Nigeria against the Igbo? Even the current Igbo-on-Igbo crimes, are they not the result of a severely oppressed and subjugated people having no control over their own lives and their own security, which is exactly what Nigeria / the North is doing to the Igbo?
b) What have you said about the Igbo victims of Boko Haram: do you even understand that they exist?
c) The hypocrisy is really obvious.
4. “Counselor to Kings..."?
Where exactly did you get the idea that Jonathan should always listen to and obey what you say and what you think, else…?
5. “…Approaching Violence…” Prophet?
a) It is neither prophecy nor astute deduction nor fresh warning even to the unaware that Nigeria, already inextricably engulfed in violence, is going to experience more violence until its final implosion and explosion.
b) You know who the violent groups are (and I am not talking about the Niger Delta fighting for a tiny control of what is on their own land, which the North have seized for themselves) and you have defended and explained away their genetic and or cultural disposition to violence quite well elsewhere in your writings while acting like you actually condemn their violence. Like in this your current writing, you spend more time defending Boko Haram than you do looking at their original criminal acts. We do not need a prophet to tell us that they and the Hausa-Fulani will continue to violate their Nigeria and violate those others forced to live as Nigerians, and continue to spill the blood of the innocent. Their violence only continues; and you continue to explain it away—for whose benefit?
c) The thinly disguised threat of “…approaching violence…” if the North does not, as usual and as before, get their way (take over Nigeria’s presidency and continue their complete seizure of others’ resources) does not scare anyone any more, except for those still in psychological denial, and those refusing to see the fact and truth that this one-Nigeria which you cling to only for self-serving reasons, along with your fellow-Northerners, does not work and will not work. Everyone knows the North will visit more violence on Nigeria in order to protect its oppressor-super-parasite hold on the hapless. In the end, the North will lose.
6. The Problem
a) Dr. Tilde: one has to conclude that you are part of the problem. You see a “relationship” (Nigeria) which does not work. You insist that it must be forced to continue to work. While acting like you actually have some altruistic reasons for prolonging the agony of such a bloody and unbalanced relationship, you are in fact a partisan, the true and unrepentant oppressor-part of this unholy, unworkable relationship. Your writings have betrayed your true role while belying any self-projection as a caring individual
b) You prove, like the true Northerner you are, that all you are really interested in is what is GOOD FOR THE NORTH (actually, what is good for the Hausa-Fulani), of which one-Nigeria certainly is; NOT WHAT IS GOOD FOR THE OTHER PEOPLES OF NIGERIA, of which one-Nigeria is not.
7. FEARS
a) What are your fears? What exactly is the North (or the Hausa Fulani) afraid of? Why can’t Boko Haram go its own way with its people and adherents, and allow others to live with their “Western orientation” in the latters’ own social and geopolitical space and domain? Why defend their crimes and ways while continuing to force on the same environment of one-Nigeria, thereby creating and sustaining the same fertile ground where such crimes will certainly be committed, and wherein their ways will certainly clash with others? Why the “prophecy,” when we all see and know what is happening?
b) Why can’t you be honest and tell us exactly what the North really wants—in your / their own words—out of Nigeria, so that we can all separate that out and deal with it, instead of your insisting on the current violent structure of Nigeria with the belief that the North will continue to prevail, with its tradition of intimidation and violence, like it had before now, and continue to extract its needs with impunity, to the ongoing detriment of the rest?
8. Solution:
a) Nigeria can officially split now peacefully, or prolong the period of the split only to consummate it with a last spasm of violence. But, split it is.
b) A peaceful split happens with negotiation; the North’s issues will be on the table and be addressed.
c) If it comes to another spasm of violence ending Nigeria’s pernicious and evil existence, this will certainly deprive the North of whatever it had wanted and what it has been deriving, unchallenged thus far, out of one-Nigeria.
d) Know that Nigeria will not stand.
Nigeria is already steeped in violence—has been since 1965; Nigeria IS, in fact, the Violence. We can negotiate a peaceful break-up now, resulting in a win-win for all, and a preservation of whatever goodwill is left. Else, after what to you is “…Approaching Violence…” (but to the rest of us, is only typical “ongoing reality”); then, “…ask not for whom the bell tolls…”
Those who cannot, have not, and will not live together BEST live apart.
It’s time to negotiate “living apart.” You can be part of that solution, or you can prophecy self-fulfilling more violence, the result of your continuing to support already violent one-Nigeria.
I hope you make the right choice.
WARPED PRESENTATION.
Mr Anonymous, I disagree with your choice of language. This writer is merely using intellectual fraud to present a case. All you need do is to tackle him one by one on the issues and arguements raised. For instance why separate the north into muslim/christian? Why not old/young? Is it that ElRufai and Ribadu are no longer northerners? Why is he hiding under innuendoes to refer to the midle beltas especially Benue and Plateau people derogatorily?
He should be adviced that Nigerians are not that illiterate, certainly not the internet generation of Nigerians.
@ Agha Egwu, thanks for
@ Agha Egwu, thanks for spitting the truth. I read your comment, and I cannot agree more. The hausa fulani are still deceiving themselves with this big, huge north. They have forgotten that with the present Nigeria, hausa/fulanis have become minority. There is nothing like big north anymore. If Nigeria should break, I am so certain that milddlebelters will never go with Hausa fulani.Maybe then, the hausa/fulanis will think of merging with Niger republic because that is where they belong.
TILDE IS RIGHT
ALL THOSE CRITICIZING TILDE ON TRIBAL AND RELIGIOUS SENTIMENT SHOULD NOTE THAT THEY ARE THE REAL BIGOTS, INTOLERANTS, AND REAL ELEMENTS THAT DRAGGED THE COUNTRY TO THIS SORRY SITUATION. YOU ATTRIBUTE BAD LEADERSHIP TO HAUSA/FULANI MUSLIMS; OBASANJO RULED FOR 8 YEARS AND HE IS ACKNOWLEDGED AS THE WORST LEADER NIGERIA EVER HAD. NOW SEE THE KIND OF BLUNDER ANOTHER SOUTHERNER IS COMMITTING, DINING AND WINING WITH TERRORISTS IN THE STATE HOUSE. IN FACT YOU PEOPLE SHOULD THANK GOD THAT THE NORTHERNERS FORM A DOMINANT POLITICAL POWER IN NIGERIA OTHERWISE THE INTOLERANCE, INCOMPETENCY AND MILITANCY OF THE SOUTH WILL HAVE MAKE LIFE UNBEARABLE TO NIGERIANS. A GOOD EXAMPLE IS HOW MINORITIES IN THE NIGER DELTA BENT DOWN TO SABOTAGE GOODLUCK BECAUSE OF MINOR TRIBAL DIFFERENCE AMONG THEM. LET THE COUNTRY BREAK AND WE WILL SEE WHETHER THE IJAWS AND ISEKIRIS, WILL LIVE TOGETHER, ALLOW IGBOS TO ENJOY THE OIL WEALTH OR KIDNAPPING, BANK RUBBERING AND DRUG TRAFFICKING WILL EVER SUBSIDE DOWN SOUTH. AND FOR DEMOCRACY, IT IS A GAME OF NUMBER. NO ANY REGION OF THIS COUNTRY CAN DO THE SACRIFICE OF ACCEPTING ZONING APART FROM THE NORTH.
To Mr Tilde
Dear Mr Tilde.
Do you not for once think you are taking too much credit for doing nothing other than expressing your
views in an internet medium? Who made you adviser to the President? You are not egoistic, are you?
Are you, honestly, comfortable with being led again
by folks like IBB and Atiku, after the monumental
wealth they stole from our commonwealth? Or are you
unaware that with the money looted by these two alone, all major motorways in Nigeria can be built
to international standard? Shouldn't you be calling
on these so-called ex-leaders to first, hand back their loot to Nigeria before having the impudence to say they want to rule again? Is Nigeria theirs?
Should it really matter, where the President comes
from, so long as they have vision?
Please provide answers to these gaping questions
before putting your pen to paper ever again on Ni-
gerian issues, PhD or not.
Your Message
Dr. Tilde, Your message on this forum is actually baseless and has no truth in it. I think you should have sent it straight to JEG as I’m sure you have his email address. Why share such biased write up with us?, even if your party PDP had such agreement what does that has to do with Nigerian masses? You all are nothing more than low life greedy and uneducated beasts... We are not going to buy into such propaganda you and your cronies have always sold to us in the past!!
Practice of zoning must date back to 1960, not 1999.
If zoning must be entrenched into our political process, we must start counting back from 1960 when Tafawa Balewa first headed Nigeria's government. Not 1999, because you do not start counting the number of goals scored in a match from the middle of a competition. The Aliyu Tildes and the Adamu Ciromas are demonstrating a kind of Judas' intelligence by insisting that the north must take over from President GEJ this time.
The north has led Nigeria for about 38 of the country's 50 years of independence. In those years the north-led soldiers restructured Nigeria and through state creation and proliferation of states in the north practically consigned decisions about Nigeria to the hands of the northern conservative oligarchy.
If now zoning is the answer to co-existence of the various groups in Nigeria, after the southsouth presidency, it should be the turn of the southeast before it goes to the northeast. This is what is supposed to be if Nigeria adopts turn-by-turn system in producing the nation's presidents.
The Tildes must stop intimidating others with the politics of threat of violence in order to get what they want. We are now in the 21st century, so no body can predict the outcome of the violence Dr. Tilde is predicting, if not inciting. After the violence, the Tildes may be the end losers.
yes tilde we are against your
yes tilde we are against your people ,because your moronic brothers are not capable of providing good leadership for this country.you guys have been tried and tested but you fools failed.precise your religion and culture promotes violence and mediocity,and nigeria deserves better.food for thought,chad,niger,somalia,sudan,nigeria can never be led again by bunch of smelly visionless barbaric people.As anything good ever comes from hausa/fulanis.
This is a Paid write-up
I have carefully read your article and noticed that you are sentimental and not objective ,there is nowhere you emphasized the need for good governance,
For example in paragraph 13 , exposed your falsehood.
For ciroma to tell jonathan to resign is unbecoming of an elder, it was a threat not a warning.
For you information not everybody is saying yes to jonathan, if you think that becoming a member of the PDP guarantees ones electral victory then you are leaving in foul's paradise.
Besides , jonathan , feels that he can do better than any of those nothern aspirants,zoning not withstanding,after all there was zoning arrangement when Artiku raise against obasonjor before he chased out the PDP because it is foolhardy to sacrifice nigerians under the alter of zoning, so if you are convince that your camp is popular amongs the north ,then you can stop him at the primaries .
I will cast my vote for Buhari.
let nigerian decides , it is one man one vote - stop crying for wolves where there is none.
am not a big fan of zoning
but we will be making a great mistake if we allow such massively inept guy to be president again, clearly out of his league
Dr. Tilde, Your statement
Dr. Tilde,
Your statement that the Governor gave a hundred thousand Naira to two Boko Haram members shows the level of mediocrity in the rulers of Nigeria. Dr. Tilde, we in the South have had enough of the rubbish of the Hausa Fulani. It is not about Jonathan Goodluck. It is about respect for the bread basket of the country.
We in the south make up the vanguard of those spread all over the West suffering and hustling while we provide the money for people like you to jet to Mecca and Medina twice a year and marry four wives and 13 year old children while at it. We are tired of dancing to your tune.
We will only dance to ours. So to Adamu Ciroma, Boko Haram and every Fulani bastard out there that believes Nigeria is theirs or that they can achieve power through violence. Pls be warned, we will answer you ten fold for every act that you take. You are quick to submit to your arab overlords, when have any of you protested at the treatment of Blacks in Sudan and the Arab world.
You have been warned, do your worst, harm Jonathan and see what will happen!
Why is it an insult to say
Why is it an insult to say that the North must not think that the presidency is its birthright? Does Tilde not know that there are some in the North who think that they are 'born to rule'? So if the rest of the country (including some people in the North) don't agree with that, why is it an insult to tell them so?
You dont know what u r
You dont know what u r saying, u dont even know the PDP constitution, anyway I assure u you guys will definately come back to our hand (HAUSA, FULANI,MUSLIMS),then u will know. SAKARAI.
NIGERIA
i read your article with utmost interest; you did raised a lot of valid points and i cant but agree with you in a lot of ways.i remembered your role during the 'dead man/president' debacle(UMYR ala Turai)and you really were on the side of the constitution-i commend you for that; GEJ and his 'cabals' really need to take a timeout and reevaluate their position in the current dipostion; he (GEJ) has tasted power and is intoxicated by it and now want more.Zoning is not a national issue and i could care less how the PDP(permanently demented people)deal with it, but Mr GEJ is just missing the opportunity to put his name down as the best president ever; he is too feeble minded,weak and distracted by his quest for power to deal with the nigerian issues in a very forthright and effective manner and unfortunately, he is surrounded by a bunch of rogues -like OBJ, Nwodo etc; His wife also doesnt help his course; It is so unfortunate;
Dr Tilde, why dont you tell your demented 'elders' to 'grow up' ; their stance on issues are so tribalistic and mostly unconstitutional that it exposes their ignorance and unpatriotic tendencies; they had the opportunity to improve the lot of nigerians and what did they do; loot the treasury and enrich themselves to the detriments of the country(including the northeners).
Nigeria need a new set of vibrant, patriotic and honest leaders to survive; the current (and former) crops of VIPs(vagabonds in power)-like OBJ,IBB,Atiku,Ciroma,Sarakis,etc need to be wiped off the Nigerian political scene for the country to grow and achieve its potentials ; as long as these parasites are allowed to dominate the polity, the seed of fairness, equity, growth, development and ultimately nationhood will never germinate;and groups like Boko Haram,MEND,etc will have a fertile field to recruit members and inflict more fatal wound to the already injured,raped and bastardise entity called Nigeria.The clock is ticking and the end is near for Nigeria unless..............................
Niger Delta Girlie
Take it easy lady. I hope it doesn't come to blow for blow. While I agree your angle makes more sense, I really don't think it should degenerate to Alamo, the Mexican stand-off
Instead of tackling pervasive poverty in Nigeria, the politicians are busy angling to retain their posts. The absence of options has led to sections of the country being hijacked by urchings and criminal gangs.
Nigerians have seen it all, either continued democrasy or the military can come back, it doesn't matter. Only improvements in the quality of lives of our people is the solution. Brazen killings of innocent citizens will only worsen it and escalate the violence.
I hope you don't go picking bones with the Dr. since opinions are subjective, he's certainy entitled to his.
A Visionless Write Up
As I read this article the intension of the writer began to unveil itself.We are not fooled by this tactics because we are clever enough to read between the lines no matter are well hidden your intentions are. The Boko haram killings has been cleverly disguised as a vehicle of attack on the person of GEJ as clearly evidence in the deviation. This tactics are common by paid and sponsored writers like yourself.The concept of North and South Nigeria does not exist in the present day Nigeria. I can relate to a six geopolitical arrangement as a basis for for a fair distribution of power but not a south Vs North.PDP zoning arrangement on the other hand assumed that Nigeria is a one party state which we are not. For any zoning to be effective and have the backing of the law, steps must be taking to amend the constitution as to the best acceptable rotational arrangement for the nation agreed by the people and not by imposition.If the Chiromas and the Babangidas are what the North has to offer the nation then may I submit that it would be time for the different entity that form the Nigerian state to go their seperate ways.
One Nigeria please
what i have to say here is please Nigerians stop seeing yourselves as a Northerner or a Southerner,Christian or a Muslim..the earlier we start start seeing our selves Nigerians the better.
Mr. Tilde, you have made my day!
"These experiences inform the fear among diplomatic circles that abandoning zoning in the PDP might bring the demise of the current democratic dispensation..." Mr. Tilde, thank you for your impassioned analysis. We are indeed of the same mindset in this matter of PDP zoning arrangement. In fact, you have pre-empted the article I was writing on the subject and thus I have to retract mine, until yet another time.
The matter of the PDP zoning arrangement was what Mr. Jonathan and his PDP party faithfuls sat together and agreed upon. In 1999, when Obasanjo was being wooed to contest the PDP Presidential primaries and was the annointed one by the military government of General Abdulsalam Abubakar, I watched him on NTA shortly after he was released from prison. Adorning his famous khaki knicker and holding a hoe, Obasanjo retorted to a question posed by the NTA journalist who had gone to interview him in his Otta farm, that how many Presidents will they make out of him; that he was tired of ruling Nigeria and that they should look for someone else! Whether Obasanjo was simply grandstanding or indeed genuinely expressing disinterest to becoming the President of Nigeria I cannot say.
In 2007, Umaru Yar'Adua was the annointed one. Everyone knows that the party hierarchy wanted Mr. Peter Odili. The likes of Ojo Maduekwe and his co-Igbo travellers in the PDP prevailed upon Obasanjo to have Odili become the party's VP nominee. This was a fait accompli until the very last 48 hours of the primaries. Yar'Adua was not comfortable with Odili as his VP. He looked to the governors in the South south region where the VP position was zoned by the party. He felt comfortable with a docile personality, a man he felt would not have any unbridled ambition to challenge him in any manner. And thus, he implored Obasanjo that he would prefer to work with Mr. Jonathan rather than Odili. The rest they say is history.
When Mr. Jonathan became the Acting President, I believed candidly that when he went for Vincent Ogbulafor's jugular, bringing up a matter of a corruption case of 2006 against him, that we now have a leader who is ready to combat fraud and corruption. Little did I realize that he wanted him out of the way for the comments he made that Mr. Jonathan will not contest the 2011 Presidency and would respect the party's zoning arrangement. Since shoving the man out as the party's Chairman and bringing in the 'double-hand-shaking' and prostrate Mr. Okwu Nwodo as the party's Chairman, Mr. Jonathan's vaulting ambition to contest the PDP Presidential nomination has been reinforced by further inappropriate steps, like attempting to alter the Electoral Act 2010 so that bureaucrats like Ambassadors, Consul Generals, and some select group of civil servants can participate in any party's primaries!
In 1967, our Head of State, Mr. Yakubu Gowon, reached a gentleman's agreement with the then President of Cameroon, Alhaji Ahmadu Ahidjo, that if he supports Nigeria against then Biafra and economically blockades Biafra, he will cede Bakassi to Cameroon. When Cameroon decided to appropriate Bakassi, then Nigerian government of Obasanjo, went to the Hague, The Netherlands, to argue the case. Nigeria engaged the legal luminary, Richard Akinjide, to lead the country's lawyers in their position that Bakassi is part of Nigeria. The main force of Akinjide's argument was that Mr. Gowon did not seek the permission of the SMC at that time and that the gentleman's agreement was not binding. Mr. Gowon, the gentleman that we know he is, did not prevaricate in insisting that he indeed reached a gentleman's agreement with Cameroon and that that country's economic blockade of Biafra hastened the end of the war. At the end, the court handed Bakassi over to Cameroon. But the import of my recounting this scenario, is to emphasize that Mr. Gowon could have at the alter of expediency of the moment, after all the war had since ended, claim that such an unwriiten agreement was never reached. He chose to remain the gentleman he has been to date. This is the example I ask Mr. Jonathan to emulate instead of spinning the zoning arrangement of his party because it is presently inconvenient to his actualizing his Presidential ambition in 2011.
I have been accused on this site as selling my conscience to IBB; and someone has even claimed that I collected US$100 million from the IBB Camp like Henry Okah. Well, I am only a SR blogger, that is all. I do not think as inconsequential as I am, any person, group or affiliation will bring that sum of money for someone like me whose only contribution to the Nigerian state is to say his views the way he believes it on an Internet site.
My stand is that Mr. Jonathan, like Mr. Gowon before him, should be a gentleman. He should abide by agreements whether there are documentary evidence to support them or they are merely verbal 'gentleman's agreement.'
For those who want to know where my party loyalty is, I make bold to repeat what I have stated here on numerous postings, that the very day the PDP Presidential nominee is allowed by 145 million Nigerians to become the President of Nigeria in 2011, that will be the beginning of Nigeria sliding towards becoming a completely failed state. It is therefore left for us progressives to mobilize the 145 million Nigerians to effecting that change by rejecting the PDP candidates at the local, state and federal elections. Thank you.
zoning..
I do sincerely think that if there was an agreement in PDP for zoning though unwritten, should be respected by Jonathan.
He ascended to power not by flexing his political muscles but by providence.It only makes sense for him to conduct free elections while aggressively fighting the hawks who wish this nation no good!
Dr. Tilde's analysis is brilliant, but.......
I would hope those who disagree with Dr. Tilde's write up will engage him with reasoned and logical arguments as he has done.
I think his analysis is brilliant, and his write up is logical and very articulate.
However, I disagree with him on all points. If Nigeria is to be transformed, we cannot contine to do business as usual.
1. Violent groups do not belong in civilized society. I agree with Dr. Tilde that government violence cannot be antidote to religious violence. Government must use a calculated and deliberate force to dislodge bullies even when their motive is religious.
A governor that goes around bribing people that should be made to face the law is a coward. He has no business leading any group of people talk less of being a governor.
3. Adamu Ciroma's opinions cannot transform Nigeria. We can do better. Our vision must not be mirred in the past.
4. I agree that Goodluck Jonathan is not showing the strength or wisdom one will expect of a transformative leader which really is what Nigeria needs today. For instance, he had no business offering an opinion publicly on the actors behind the recent bombing. He should have allowed his security chiefs or political advisors to present the government opinion, if the latter has one.
He has also been a bit too cautious on many issues making many people think he could lose the election by default. However, the relatively fresh blood - Ribadu, Utomi etc, are yet to command the kind of stature that should make the electorate take notice.
But there is still time to analyze all the aspirants. What we do not have time for is to waste a minute giving attention to the re-cyle leaders, especially Babangida and Atiku.
Saraki and Buhari do not belong to the group of despised leaders neither do they evoke the transformative dream of a greater tomorrow.
2. Zoning must take a second place to citizen rights. Sectional interests must be subjugated to the right of any individual Nigerian, including Goodluck Jonathan to aspire to the highest office. This premise must also translate every nook and corner. It should no longer be an abberration that a person speaking a minority language in Nigeria will seek the highest office. "Infrastructures" including but not restricted to zoning which hitherto have been erected whereby a few powerful individuals decide the destiny of a nation have to be pulled down. An incumbent President as in the last administration should not be deciding his successor (yes, he can have a candidate) rather the ultimate decision must rest with the electorate. So far, we have failed woefully in this regard; zoning is an element in that equation but by far not the only one and not even the most important one. As we move forward, we will be faced with each of these elements, as we now have with zoning. We should identify them as clogs and remove them, not be hampered by agreements reached by people who never sent to set up this agreement on our collective behalf.
can nigerians be united at all ?
Tildes view is no doubt the opinion of many other northerners
while not holding brief for him,I observe from comments following his article that Nigeria is deeply divided by religious and sectional bias.My fear is that we may not remain as a nation in no distant future if nothing is done to mutually assure ourselves that we will respect in sincerity our diversity.
I also hope that we will not wake up one wishing that
G G orka had succeeded in his coup because his perception of the problems of Nigeria and their solutions are grim realities to me now.However, we have to ask ourselves an honest question: Is it possible for us to stay together as nigerians void of animosity towards each other despite our diversity ? the early we face our answer,the better.
VIOLENCE IN NIGERIA
Beyond the blind hatred of the North, the discerning reader should acquaint himself with Tilde's article. The fact is the Police have failed Nigerians totally in Law Enforcement. Until and unless the ordinry Nigerians come to TRUST the Police as friends, we are still in for a shock come the elections of 2011.
The nations needs leaders who have vision and determination rather than championing their ethnic/regional agenda at State houses.
On Boko Haram, the Security agencies have failed woefully. The arrest of Yusuf; their leader and his subsequent killing by the Police denied Nigeriana a chance to know and learn how he metamorphosed into the threat he became. Who financed and provided succour for him? Instead the Police were telling us that billions were found in his bank account and many jeeps found at his house as if the money and jeeps were stolen! Someone with means must have provided them and certainly it was not for free!
Leave out tribalism and regionalism and face the fact that we are in deep trouble given the leadership we have had from 1999.
Your article is Malicious
Mr. Tilde or what ever you call yourself, please stop writing stupid and bias article in SR and let me tell you it is not your business whether Ibos were stopped from holding meetings or not. As a Nigerian and an Igbo by origin, I must tell you that DR. Jonathan as a citizen of this country has 100% guarantee from the constitution of this country to exercise his political freedoms to the fullest without any body posing an obstacle towards his political ambition. I am ashamed that Somebody like you who claim to have a doctorate degree does not even understand that the constitution of Nigeria is greater than that of any party. Your best bet is to have channeled your write up in advising your power mongering masters to utilize constitutional means to seek redress, which I doubt they can. Please stop distracting Mr. president with your malicious and dangerous write up as he has not sought advice from you neither is your advice useful. Please give us a break 38 years is more than enough. Let me tell you, This thing is not a birth right. Tell them to bring all the cow money they have been selling for 38 years so that we can enjoy it together. That will be the beginning of unity and patriotism.

