Re – Who Will Defeat Jonathan in 2015? By Joe Igbokwe

By Joe Igbokwe

“If free and fair elections were held today (even though PDP will never permit free and fair elections) chances are that President Jonathan will emerge victorious. I say this with every sense of responsibility.” - Chido Onumah

My brother Chido Onumah is a gifted writer. Please give it to him. He is one of the vigorous advocates of the peoples’ cause, an activist, a thinker, author and a committed Nigerian. His Book: Time To Reclaim Nigeria is a popular idea whose time has come. Chido’s contribution to the project Nigeria cannot just be dismissed by any sensible person. However his latest article posted on various internet forums, with the title, 2015: WHO WILL DEFEAT JONATHAN? has just caught my attention and I need to take him up on the statements above. I do not know what led Chido Onumah to believe that PDP led by anybody in Nigeria today can win a presidential election in a free and fair process. I tried without success to figure out why he made the statement above and believe you me I was left with no option than to write this rejoinder.

Now the question is this: On what basis is PDP going to win this election? Is it based on performance? What is the basis? How good have we fared in the past 14years to warrant Chido to make this egregious forecast? Are we getting better? If you still give PDP 50 years can it do anything better than what we have seen? Again, is endless crisis and unending strife that is afflicting PDP at present a recipe to winning election in Nigeria? Did it escape Chido Onumah that what is known as PDP is a house divided through the seam, with inchoate interests battling each other in a deadly struggle to win the upper hand and take control of the nation’s resources, as we are seeing at present? What could have Chido Onumah to gloss over the critical importance of performance in winning elections or the issue of party unity. Did Chido miss all these or did he deliberately ignore them in the thinking that Nigerians don’t notice these imperatives in winning elections? The intellectual in Chido would have protested this negligence for these critical issues remain at the soul of democracy, founded on one-man-one-vote principle.

I would not have quarreled with Chido Onumah if he had posited that PDP will always win elections the way it professes to know best-through outright gerrymandering and rigging. This has been the tradition PDP has invested and reaped heavily from since 1999. No one would have quarreled if an intellectual, after a careful analysis of the present political realities posited that PDP will win every election by the way it knows best-purloining electoral results and writing its own results-as we have been experiencing since 1999 but there is a lot to quarrel with an intellectual who comes up with the strange permutation that a PDP that is knocking on death’s doors, with a well known history of incompetent governance and mind boggling corruption, will win a free and fair election. I guess that whoever believes this is deliberately taking liberty with the truth for reasons best known to him. One sees the biggest challenge facing the Nigerian position as stopping PDP’s notorious rigging machine and I believe the Nigerians opposition is working on this. PDP has neither conducted nor won any free and fair election since 1999 and this remains the single greatest threat to democracy in Nigeria. Suffice it to say that any democracy founded on the type of horrendous manipulation the PDP has come to impose on the current democratic system in Nigeria has lost its essence and rivals any other undemocratic rule.

Now talking about APC, how can Chido tie the future of APC to one man, General Buhari(Rtd) in a nation of 150 million people? Is Chido saying that if anything happens to Buhari today, APC will not fill a presidential candidate in 2015? Don’t we have more than 50 presidential candidates who can do better than Buhari if we search for them? Can Chido with every sense of responsibility say that he has not seen the sacrifices being made by the progenitors of APC to provide an alternative to PDP? Is Chido saying that he has not seen the mines and bombs PDP mercenaries have been sowing on APC’s highway to reclaim Nigeria? Does Chido think that it is that easy for ACN, ANPP, CPC and APGA to come together in today’s Nigeria to challenge PDP? Ina way I wanted to run away with the thinking that the write up sounds like a job for PDP but…… If we must sack PDP it is going to be a collective responsibility, and defeatism approach cannot help us. We just have to take a stand on where we are going and stick to it head on.

Those who think that keeping President Jonathan without performance is a way of addressing the minority question in Nigeria cannot get it. More money has gone to South South in the past 14 years more than the total of what went to South East, South West, and North East put together and yet there is not much to show in terms of development in the Niger Delta. Other Nigerians see this as a blackmail that cannot stand. We cannot continue to sacrifice the future of this country on the altar of mediocrity and comprehensive emptiness.

Now if the question is “Is the opposition ready to compete in 2015? Please take notice that the answer is yes and this is final. A lot of sacrifices are being made, lots and lots of structures are being put in place, lots and lots of engagements are going, interests are being taken into consideration, human and material resources are being deployed to bring about this change and all APC needs is support and encourage and not to be pulled down.

But most importantly,

A football team that cannot score goals must be disbanded. If PDP cannot do something tangible in 14 years, it has to be defeated and sacked not minding the so-called national spread

Joe Igbokwe
Lagos

 

The views expressed in this article are the author’s own and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of SaharaReporters

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There's a lot of folks that I think would really appreciate your
content. Please let me know. Cheers

Kogi are not hausas Gwaris at best-

@ANS, are u are Nigerian at all? May be of Fulani descent but resident in Kogi state. The coup that made it possible for Gowon to occupy the seat of power was organized by the sultanate-Middle belters are in arewa cause of patronage-political appointments. Most Nigerians from the former Midwestern Region who were born in the North often claim to be Fulanis. Simply because they want to enjoy the good things of life. That is why they even doubt the paternity of Murtala Mohamed. Its time the people of the Middle stand on their own-there is nothing like Fulani/hausa. Fulanis like Buhari only remember the Middle Belters during elections. If the Fulanis are one with Middle Belt, why kill them in the North? Why attempt to impose their rule from Sokoto on the natives of plateau and Benue? Your Kogi state is under the control of Fulanis. U have no say in your own state. Same as Kwara. So pls try and free yourself from the bondage of Fulani rule now!

Brother Joe Please Provide Facts

“More money has gone to South South in the past 14 years more than the total of what went to South East, South West, and North East put together and yet there is not much to show in terms of development in the Niger Delta.”
I would have expected you to provide an appendix to back up your claim. This is not a campaign ground where you talk and people would applaud without facts being provided. Secondly I would have expected you to talk about the North West that has little or no resources, (not even the population that they claim) and yet have been having about 50% of the federal resources since independence. The third thing is I am from the South West and I will like to ask you what our governors have done for their people. Are their affordable houses in Lagos, Ibadan, Abeokuta or Oshogbo built by the states? Is pipe born water available in most places? Do we have quality schools, good roads that link the rural areas to the cities, etc.?
Peace.

Who will defeat Jonathan in 2015.

president Goodluck Jonathan is a democrat.The brand of his politics is transformationary anchored on rule of Law.The president believes in vibrant opposition and robust civil society.As an academician ,he understands the importance of plurality of opinions.On 2015,The permutations are in favour of mr president.The A.P.C. Would attempt to put up a fight as expected but the voting dynamics and political realities gives mr president the edge.Chiotu Nnamdi,Abuja.

Blind Competition

I do not believe that Joe Igbokwe did not understand Chido warning to the APC because the essence of Chido's write up is summarized in the first three paragraphs of the piece but I do think Joe err this much because he either skipped the first three paragraphs or out on a blind competition with Chido. One will not need to stretch thought further to see that if an element in PDP becomes a presidential flag-bearer in APC the election is already over for one reason that Nigeria will not see that as a change so will prefer to vote President Jonathan. And the other truth therein is that "as at today if election is held Jonathan will win". Of course, who is a known candidate in the camp of the so-called opposition that Nigerian electorates can see as a veritable alternative as at now? I leave the rest to Joe to ponder. We can't politik all the time. There are times we need to think outside the box.

APC, Note: Igbo flag bearer is APC's best bet to occupy Aso Rock

@Joe Igbokwe,
Please pray that chieftains of APC realize that the merger's best bet to occupy Aso Rock in 2015 is by fielding an Igbo presidential candidate. North has occupied govt house for 38 years, southwest for 11 years, southsouth now occupying. Nigeria is a peculiar country of multi-ethnic and religious groups, any political organization that does not believe that the Igbo must occupy Aso Rock after President Jonathan - after which we resort to use of merit to search for presidential materials - is a deceptive organization. It wants more wars in Nigeria. Nigeria can never progress with the Igbo bearing grudges against it.

GEJ will defeat himself:OBORO's stand........

Jonathan will defeat himself so long Felix Oboro,Akpos1 and Deri mainitain their infamous stand that Nigeria should disintegrate.

GEJ will defeat himself......

Jonathan will defeat himself so long Felix Oboro,Akpos1 and Deri mainitain their infamous stand that Nigeria should disintegrate.

@Adams not Bala

My initial post is directed to Adams and not Bala as written.

Who are the Middlebelters

@Bala I think you should speak for yourself as u are not qualified to speak for any other person from the zone. I am a middle belter as well precisely from Kogi state. Hear yourself say you will not vote for a Nothern candidate no matter how qualified the person is and you are a Northerner. What a shame. The point canvassed by many of the southern bigot is that the North has ruled more than any other region but are quick to absolve the middle belt of the sentiment. But I want to ask where the following administration represent (1)Yakubu Gowon (9 years) (2)Ibrahim Babangida (8years) and (3)Abdulsalam Abubakar (1 year). Some of the southern bigot with their myopic view think that the so called middle-belt start from Benue and end in Plateau. Middle belt politics is more complex than you think it is but the truth remain that Middle belt is part of the North and the North is not complete without middle belt. accept it or not.

Who are the Middlebelters

@Bala I think you should speak for yourself as u are not qualified to speak for any other person from the zone. I am a middle belter as well precisely from Kogi state. Hear yourself say you will not vote for a Nothern candidate no matter how qualified the person is and you are a Northerner. What a shame. The point canvassed by many of the southern bigot is that the North has ruled more than any other region but are quick to absolve the middle belt of the sentiment. But I want to ask where the following administration represent (1)Yakubu Gowon (9 years) (2)Ibrahim Babangida (8years) and (3)Abdulsalam Abubakar (1 year). Some of the southern bigot with their myopic view think that the so called middle-belt start from Benue and end in Plateau. Middle belt politics is more complex than you think it is but the truth remain that Middle belt is part of the North and the North is not complete without middle belt. accept it or not.

@Joe - Rid APC of godfathers first!

It is not surprising that the Lagos State ACN spokesman made such funny and ridiculous comment (speaking of his conclusion) that "...and all APC needs is support and encourage and not to be pulled down". Very funny!

That was the 'Politician' in him speaking. 'Don't pull down my Party, but pull down my opponent's Party'.

The typical Nigerian 'Politician' lacks objectivity. They can dish it or throw eggs, but when the tables turn, they sulk and complain. It is interesting that Joe Igbokwe is complaining that his 'Party needs support and encouragement and not to be pulled down'. But when he does that to another Party, that is okay. He moans and complains about what he himself does best! HYPOCRITE!

Question for Joe - How can we support a Party that we don't even know what it is about, EXCEPT THAT IT IS A GANG-UP TO PULL JONATHAN DOWN? What are your POLICIES?

@Wahala - The problem is organic and systemic! - 2

You quoted from a Babs Ajayi who still sees Government as a UNITARY GOVT, and not a FEDERALISM involving 36 States and 1 FCT or 774 Local Govts, and each part with its own sphere of jurisdiction and duties to perform. When he starts to see Nigeria as a FEDERALISM, then he will ask OBJECTIVELY, what are the 36 States Governors and 774 Local Govts chairmen ALL doing, if for instance, JONATHAN IS UNDERPERFORMING? If he is ignorant, he should come and see what LOCAL GOVERNMENTS do in the UK!

Your quote of Buhari is so hilarious! The stark illiterate sees Nigeria as a 'wilderness' because his foot-soldiers are now being tamed! The illiterate should be told that Nigeria is more than the 3 'wilderness' States, which his foot-soldiers rendered UNGOVERNABLE (as he promised)!

The JTF have not killed as many Bokos as Buhari's Boko Harams have killed Southerners, Christians, Muslims, Police, Corpers, Military, UN officials, etc, put together. Do the MATHS!

GEJ

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@Wahala - The problem is organic and systemic!

While you continue your rehash of quotes by people, I have this to say. If I was in the audience I would have challenged late Chinua Achebe (may his blessed soul R.I.P) and told him that his assessment of Nigeria's problem was too simplistic and puerile. The problem with Nigeria is not 'simply' and 'squarely' leadership failure. Rather it is a 'people's failure'. The leaders are like or of the people, and they are already failed even before they become leaders.

All the vices they exhibit when they get to leadership are already with them. They imbibe the culture of stealing, dubiousness, notoriety, corruption, lying, cheating, covetousness, greed, depravation, well before they get to leadership. (E.g. The NEPA official that collects N75,000 for a NEPA meter, which officially cost N3,500 is not in leadership).

Nigeria's problems are organic and systemic. And it will take more than one person to solve it. If you don't know that, then know it now!

Oga Joe, take off the blinkers!

Oga Joe, with all due respects, I believe you have not comprehended fully, the import of what Chido wrote.

Simply put, what he said is that all GEJ needs to do is for APC to loose the next election. In other words, the elections are for APC to loose by not getting its house in order. Sure, I agree with your disagreement on Chido's take on a GMB candidacy, but his other points needs to be considered as home truths for APC, no matter how unpalatable.

A word is enough for the wise. In politics, nothing is given, but everything is taken.

Chido Onuma sounded as if he

Chido Onuma sounded as if he is encouraging the opposition to sit up but deep in the innrmost chamber of his heart is the hatched job for President GEJ. I stand to be to be proved wrong on this matter. To change the course of this country for the better we need to take a principled and committed stand and be courageous about it. No window dressing ,no hide and seek game, no pretentions, no speaking from both corners of the mouth. A group of people without conscience,without remorse, without mercy, without fear, without regret have seized this country for 14 years without progress. We need to take back our country and it is a not a battle for ugba and okpoloko politicians or writers or commentators.

when did he say that?

am no fan of buhari but when did he say he will make the country un-governable if gej won? I remember this was an atiku associate during the pdp primaries. can u point to when buhari said so? thanks

is PDP a name of a person?

Who is PDP? Is it a name of a person or a certain group of people? This writer certainly is uninformed and has no political idea.PDP is just a platform that can be used by any Nigerian to achieve his/her political dream.Saying dat PDP is corrupt is anoder way of emphasizing dat Nigerians are corrupt which is a known fact.D opposition u are doin PR for are also Nigerians dat where not opportuned to be in PDP.I knw if PDP wil giv Buhari opportunity 2day to contest on its platform,he wil certainly think oderwise.So lets forget abt party and focus on individuals.Its beter dat way I think.

Joe, be very careful. Last warning!

Joe, I ask you, where are your facts that the Niger Delta got more than all others regions of the country put together? Give us the figures. It smacks of stupidity for you to 'yarn' such rubbish without figures. It then places you worse than Chido as you have become guilty of what you accuse him of. ...In any case, even if it were true, isn't it the norm in other countries? Do u think pple in Warri, PH, Calabar, Edo, Bayelsa etc do not know how much oil&gas they produce? U really think they dont know how much they are worth? Dont worry, just wait & see what we are planning.

Get it clear, we do not care about PDP, CPG or PCP what we care about is that Jona completes his 8 terms. Those who did have no 2 heads. After him, another SS&SE oil producing citizen will take over until we equal the 51yrs which the North & West cummulatively held on to power & ruined Nigeria. Else, get ready for fire like you've never seen before. Nonsense.

Only a bloody revolution can save Nigeria - Prof Nwabueze

This shows the depth of Nigeria's fall - for an educate man to waste ink on paper debating if Mohammadu Buhari or Goodluck Jonathan should be President without reference to the knowledge or a set of development ideas either man has, if so far, neither demonstrates any,and yet, the captive people of Nigeria are being invited by the writer to hand their lives to either of these bereft fellows.

Nigeria is finished. There's no standard for doing or choosing anything.

The essayist, Chido Nwakama, does worse and fails a journalist ethic to show the way out of a cul-de-sac and not perpetuate it by fudging the distinction between progress and election victory in terms of Goodluck Jonathan as a constant. A more clear-headed person, not in hock to region or tribe, Professor Ben Nwabueze did better lately by pointing the way out. "Only a bloody revolution can save Nigeria", Nwabueze said.

Buhari-a coup plotter

@ Wahala.It seems U are one of 9gers with short memory. U hav soon forgotten dat Buhari toppled mentally inferior Shehu Shagari after his re-election for a 2nd term in Dec 1983? Dat cuopist who truncated a democratically elected govt has bcom a saint 2 u and others 2 be voted president come 2015? Do u realise how far we, as a nation, would hav progressed in our democratic journey if dat sadist didn't truncate that glorious opportunity 4 9ger? Do u also observe the fire Buhari spits wen he talks either as a fundamentalist or a regional promoter? I, like other patriotic Nigerians, view all these character disposition & body language of coupist Burari with circumspection.

Joe's piece is about reality check ...not "ifs-n-buts"

Joe Igbokwe took a clinical look at Naija scenario and blamed Chido for basically lying down like a dog for the PDP via Dumbo. The opposition party is not yet registered but armchair analysts are already writing them off. On what empirical premise did Chido come to his defeatist conclusions? Joe is rightly fed up with the party that Dumbo represents ...like every sane Nigerian. Naijas made a "sentimental mistake" by voting for "Jonathan" and not the "PDP" because of Turai's antics. The result has been catastrophic. The moment he opened his mouth to absolve MEND of Independence Day carnage was the pointer to his regional and divisive Presidency of finger pointing. Ordinarily, looking into Dr. Dumbo's background, there's "nothing to display" that would've won him Nigeria's Presidency. Joe is calling for correction and he makes a lot of sense. We want decisive leadership no matter where he's from ...anybody but Dumbo !!

Joe is talking about "defeatist posture" of Chido's piece

@ Joe Igbokwe:
No mind dem minion minds that cannot decipher Chido's angling. Truth is, I don't waste my time reading that clown's writings ...and thus, never comment there. Chido Onumah has lost all his senses through that massive bald head, he has forgotten how often he has sung about the abject failures of the Otuoke clown he's now marketing via the Tortoise Theory by one Dr. Eleta. Pointedly speaking, Mazi Olisa Metuh has just lost his job as the vuvuzela for the evil cabal, Chido has fantasies about wearing Metuh's shoes and like Abati, he's simply cheaply putting out "notice me" articles for "Presidency" consumption. He wants to turncoat and is hoping Abati cum Okupe will see his midget's work as a big catch (and put in a word or two) while they still target hardliners like Omo Baba Sowore, Okey Ndibe, Pope Pius, Rudolf Okonkwo, Babs Ajayi ...and us!

Thema:
Dr. Dumbo/PDP has no record to run on, that's Joe's point!

(The new nation called

(The new nation called Nigeria should be an estate of our great grandfather r past drarest of Nigeria and an adherence to Sir Ahmadu Bello’s unholy admonition to the Descendants of Uthman Dan Fodio:Uthman Dan Fodio. We must ruthlessly prevent a change of power. We use the minorities in the North as willing tools and the South as a conquered territory and never allow them to rule over us and never allow them to have control over their future”, . (Parrot Newspaper, 12th October, 1960, recalled by Tribune, 13th November, 2002.) This is what Buhari is about-to fly the flag of the fulani hegemonic tree with Yerima who introduced Sharia law in Zamfara state thro APC

Who will be more acceptable to the people than Buhari?

I don't mind Buhari as the next Nigerian President but if so many Nigerians objecting to this idea, APC should re-think their strategies. They should present somebody like Governor R. Fashola of Lagos State who will be more acceptable to many Nigerians. General Muhamadu Buhari and Governor Tinubu should have the interest of the country at heart. Allow somebody more acceptable to the people come forward so that the APC can have chance to take power away from PDP. General Muhamadu Buhari can still be part of APC, take a different role in the party and give advice to younger politicians in the party. Also to Nigerians who want God to come down and help us. It is not about praying all the times but taking sensible action and seeks God's support. God will not come down and do it for us, Nigerians have to take action then pray for God's support in the process. We've being praying for 50 years, still the country is not moving forward!

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The criminal enterprise

The criminal enterprise called 9ja, where certain regional groups believe it's their birthright to convert the resources of the ethnic nationalities in the SS among other parts of 9ja, to their personal properties, will be vehemently opposed in 2015-with over 75 percent of our oil wealth being stolen by the National Assembly and the turbanites in the Arewa consultative Forum daily, while the remaining 25 percent goes to states with the highest number of Local Government areas-which were created through the instrumentality of the military despots, to milk us dry, will be resisted to the end. Also, the vultures who came through D (Voodoo) elections of Amaechi, to torment d nation and the ppl of the SS-via the said evil plans of APC, to disgrace GEJ-and not because they have the interest of the commoners at heart, have already been served notice-that is why we see d nomination of Jang as head NGF-as a blessing 2 Jonah in 2015! Cheers

APC has already lost North Central cause of puppet-Amaechi

If there is one person I respect in ACN, the man is brother Joe Igbokwe-a hard core patriot if there is one. But brother me- I beg to differ with u on this one. It was Chief Bisi Akande, who once said that whosoever is not pleased with the way the leadership of ACN, runs its affairs, was free to leave the party.Again, if recent utterances by Buhari and his past human rights records are anything to go by, then APC will never win Abuja in 2015! Buhari it was who said those who complain of elections being rigged, only do so because they do not have the tools to rig. Lagos state where ANC operates from, topped the list of external debtors in 9ja with over $517m in June 2012. That is a state which rakes in over N24b every month as IGR-yet relies on FGN allocation to survive-so the story that states in d SS, are d most wasteful does not hold water-APC headed by d likes of yerima, buhari, tinubu ati yr new bride-Amaechi is dead!

APC has already lost North Central cause of puppet-Amaechi

If there is one person I respect in ACN, the man is brother Joe Igbokwe-a hard core patriot if there is one. But brother me- I beg to differ with u on this one. It was Chief Bisi Akande, who once said that whosoever is not pleased with the way the leadership of ACN, runs its affairs, was free to leave the party.Again, if recent utterances by Buhari and his past human rights records are anything to go by, then APC will never win Abuja in 2015! Buhari it was who said those who complain of elections being rigged, only do so because they do not have the tools to rig. Lagos state where ANC operates from, topped the list of external debtors in 9ja with over $517m in June 2012. That is a state which rakes in over N24b every month as IGR-yet relies on FGN allocation to survive-so the story that states in d SS, are d most wasteful does not hold water-APC headed by d likes of yerima, buhari, tinubu ati yr new bride-Amaechi is dead!

APC

I am from the middle belt, I cannot vote for any Northern Candidate again, we in the Middle Belt have not benefited anything from them, if APC presents a Yoruba man, I will vote for them, but, if the present another Hausa/Fulani, I rather stick with Jonathan.