…Nigeria’s fragile democratic transition is in danger of collapsing in the coming months.
The government’s institutional foundations are hollow from decades of neglect and corruption and will continue to make the country susceptible to recurring crises in the coming years.
Abuja has been unable to stem rising lawlessness and insecurity in its oil-producing region, and the Nigerian population is increasingly demoralized from worsening living conditions in the face of much publicized improvements in the country’s macroeconomic indicators.
Major political unrest in Nigeria would threaten other countries in the region.
John D. Negroponte, US Director of National Intelligence
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